Biomarker vs MRI-Enhanced Strategies for Prostate Cancer Screening: The STHLM3-MRI Randomized Clinical Trial.

Importance: Prostate cancer guidelines often recommend obtaining magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) before a biopsy, yet MRI access is limited. To date, no randomized clinical trial has compared the use of novel biomarkers for risk estimation vs MRI-based diagnostic approaches for prostate cancer screening. Objective: To evaluate biomarker-based risk estimation (Stockholm3 risk scores or prostate-specific antigen [PSA] levels) with systematic biopsies vs an MRI-enhanced strategy (PSA levels and MRI with systematic and targeted biopsy) for the detection of clinically significant prostate cancer in a screening setting. Design, Setting, and Participants: This open-label randomized clinical trial conducted in Stockholm, Sweden, between April 4, 2018, and December 10, 2020, recruited men aged 50 to 74 years with no history of prostate cancer. Participants underwent blood sampling for PSA and Stockholm3 tests to estimate their risk of clinically significant prostate cancer (Gleason score ≥3 + 4). After the blood tests were performed, participants were randomly assigned in a 2:3 ratio to receive a Stockholm3 test with systematic biopsy (biomarker group) or a PSA test followed by MRI with systematic and targeted biopsy (MRI-enhanced group). Data were analyzed from September 1 to November 5, 2023. Interventions: In the biomarker group, men with a Stockholm3 risk score of 0.15 or higher underwent systematic biopsies. In the MRI-enhanced group, men with a PSA level of 3 ng/mL or higher had an MRI and those with a Prostate Imaging-Reporting and Data System (PI-RADS) score of 3 or higher (range: 1-5, with higher scores indicating a higher likelihood of clinically significant prostate cancer) underwent targeted and systematic biopsies. Main Outcomes and Measures: Primary outcome was detection of clinically significant prostate cancer (Gleason score ≥3 + 4). Secondary outcomes included detection of clinically insignificant cancer (Gleason score ≤6) and the number of biopsy procedures performed. Results: Of 12 743 male participants (median [IQR] age, 61 [55-67] years), 5134 were assigned to the biomarker group and 7609 to the MRI-enhanced group. In the biomarker group, 8.0% of men (413) had Stockholm3 risk scores of 0.15 or higher and were referred for systematic biopsies. In the MRI-enhanced group, 12.2% of men (929) had a PSA level of 3 ng/mL or higher and were referred for MRI with biopsies if they had a PI-RADS score of 3 or higher. Detection rates of clinically significant prostate cancer were comparable between the 2 groups: 2.3% in the biomarker group and 2.5% in the MRI-enhanced group (relative proportion, 0.92; 95% CI, 0.73-1.15). More biopsies were performed in the biomarker group than in the MRI-enhanced group (326 of 5134 [6.3%] vs 338 of 7609 [4.4%]; relative proportion, 1.43 [95% CI, 1.23-1.66]), and more indolent prostate cancers were detected (61 [1.2%] vs 41 [0.5%]; relative proportion, 2.21 [95% CI, 1.49-3.27]). Conclusions and Relevance: Findings of this randomized clinical trial indicate that combining a Stockholm3 test with systematic biopsies is comparable with MRI-based screening with PSA levels and systematic and targeted biopsies for detection of clinically significant prostate cancer, but this approach resulted in more biopsies as well as detection of a greater number of indolent cancers. In regions where access to MRI is lacking, the Stockholm3 test can aid in selecting patients for systematic prostate biopsy. Trial Registration: ClinicalTrials.gov Identifier: NCT03377881.

[Prostate cancer - from the patients' perspective]. / Prostatacancer ur patienternas perspektiv.

Prostate cancer is the most common cancer among Swedish men. To get this diagnose is not only a threat to the men's lives but also to their quality of life because the treatment often affects sexuality, bladder function and bowel function. It is therefore particularly problematic that the rehabilitation of men after treatment for prostate cancer often does not reach the standards set out in the national guidelines. Despite the past years' promotion of standardized cancer care pathways to speed up the process of investigating and treating cancer, the lead times for men who are being investigated for a suspicion of prostate cancer, or are waiting for a planned prostate cancer treatment, are the longest in Swedish cancer care. Patients' organisations are currently active in all 21 Swedish regions to support men with prostate cancer and their near ones. Their national umbrella organisation is increasingly involved in various healthcare organisations, such as the National Prostate Cancer Guidelines Group, and supports clinical prostate cancer research.

Prediagnostic Prostate-specific Antigen Testing and Clinical Characteristics in Men with Lethal Prostate Cancer.

Background and objective: Prostate cancer (PC) is the fifth leading cause of cancer-related mortality in men worldwide. Opportunistic testing with prostate-specific antigen (PSA) has limited impact on PC mortality. Our objective was to assess prediagnostic PSA testing patterns and clinical characteristics at diagnosis in men with lethal PC. Methods: We conducted a population-based observational study of all men dying from PC in Stockholm County, Sweden, from 2015 to 2019. Data were retrieved from the National Prostate Cancer Register and the Stockholm PSA and Biopsy Register. If the first PSA was registered within 1 yr before diagnosis, men were categorised as PSA naïve. If an elevated PSA level was registered >1 yr before diagnosis without leading to prostate biopsy or repeating PSA within 1 yr, men were categorised as having delayed diagnosis. If a normal PSA level was registered within 5 yr before diagnosis, followed by an elevated PSA level that resulted in PC diagnosis within 1 yr, men were categorised as PSA tested. Clinical characteristics at diagnosis were stratified with D'Amico risk group classification. Key findings and limitations: Among 1473 men dying from PC, PSA test history was available for 995. Of these men, 60% (n = 592) were PSA naïve, 25% (n = 250) received delayed diagnosis, and 15% (n = 153) were PSA tested. After examining all 1473 men, 25% (n = 350) were diagnosed with low- or intermediate-risk cancer, 48% (n = 687) with high-risk cancer, and 27% (n = 385) with metastatic disease. Limitations include the retrospective design. Conclusions and clinical implications: Many men with lethal PC lacked PSA testing before diagnosis or had been tested without subsequent follow-up. Nearly half of the study population was diagnosed with high-risk cancer and almost one-third with metastatic disease. These findings suggest further evaluation of the current opportunistic PSA testing approach. Patient summary: Data from a population-based observational study of men dying from prostate cancer showed that many of them did not undergo either prostate-specific antigen (PSA) testing before diagnosis or subsequent follow-up if tested. These findings implicate deficiencies in the current opportunistic PSA testing approach.

Repeated Prostate Cancer Screening Using Prostate-Specific Antigen Testing and Magnetic Resonance Imaging: A Secondary Analysis of the STHLM3-MRI Randomized Clinical Trial.

Importance: Magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) has been proposed to enhance the benefit-to-harm ratio of prostate cancer screening, but data on repeated screening outcomes are lacking. Objective: To describe outcomes of prostate-specific antigen (PSA)-based screening with MRI and prostate biopsies at repeat screening. Design, Setting, and Participants: This secondary analysis examined the population-based, screen-by-invitation STHLM3-MRI randomized clinical trial, which recruited Swedish men aged 50 to 74 years. Men were eligible for repeat screening at 2 to 3 years if they had PSA levels of 1.5 ng/mL or greater at trial inclusion, were randomized to the MRI-targeted group (including screening using biomarkers and MRI), and were not diagnosed with prostate cancer after the first screening round. Repeat screening was performed between November 10, 2021, and February 20, 2023. Data analysis was performed between May and August 2023. Intervention: Participants underwent blood sampling, including PSA testing. A biparametric MRI scan was performed if PSA levels were 3 ng/mL or greater, and men with lesions with a Prostate Imaging-Reporting and Data System (PI-RADS) score of 3 or greater were referred for targeted and systematic biopsies. Main Outcomes and Measures: The primary outcome was clinically significant prostate cancer (Gleason score of ≥3 + 4). Secondary outcomes included the proportion of men with clinically insignificant cancer (Gleason score of 6), the number of elevated PSA tests, MRI scans, and biopsy procedures. Results: Of 7609 men from the first screening round, 2078 (27.3%) were eligible for and were invited for rescreening. Among the invitees, 1500 (72.2%) participated. Their median age was 67 (IQR, 61-72) years. Of 1094 men with PSA levels between 1.5 and 2.9 ng/mL in the first screening round, 326 (29.8%) had levels of 3 ng/mL or greater in the second round. Overall, 667 men (44.5%) had PSA levels of 3 ng/mL or greater: 617 underwent MRI (92.5%), revealing 51 (7.6%) with equivocal lesions (PI-RADS score of 3) and 33 (4.9%) with suspicious lesions (PI-RADS score of ≥4). Only 10 of 383 men (2.6%) with a prior negative MRI result had a lesion with a PI-RADS score of 4 or greater. Among the 1500 rescreened men, 48 (3.2%) had a Gleason score of 3 + 4 or greater, including 19 (1.3%) with a score of 4 + 3 or greater and 11 (0.7%) with a score of 6. Conclusions and Relevance: In this secondary analysis of the STHLM3-MRI randomized clinical trial, cancer detection during the second screening round in biennial PSA and MRI-based prostate cancer screening was limited, and the detection of low-grade tumors remained low. A substantial proportion of men exhibited elevated PSA levels during rescreening, and a considerable portion of MRI scans performed lacked lesions suggestive of cancer. Future studies should explore strategies to reduce MRI-related resource use. Trial Registration: ClinicalTrials.gov Identifier: NCT03377881.

Prediction of plasma ctDNA fraction and prognostic implications of liquid biopsy in advanced prostate cancer.

No consensus strategies exist for prognosticating metastatic castration-resistant prostate cancer (mCRPC). Circulating tumor DNA fraction (ctDNA%) is increasingly reported by commercial and laboratory tests but its utility for risk stratification is unclear. Here, we intersect ctDNA%, treatment outcomes, and clinical characteristics across 738 plasma samples from 491 male mCRPC patients from two randomized multicentre phase II trials and a prospective province-wide blood biobanking program. ctDNA% correlates with serum and radiographic metrics of disease burden and is highest in patients with liver metastases. ctDNA% strongly predicts overall survival, progression-free survival, and treatment response independent of therapeutic context and outperformed established prognostic clinical factors. Recognizing that ctDNA-based biomarker genotyping is limited by low ctDNA% in some patients, we leverage the relationship between clinical prognostic factors and ctDNA% to develop a clinically-interpretable machine-learning tool that predicts whether a patient has sufficient ctDNA% for informative ctDNA genotyping (available online: https://www.ctDNA.org ). Our results affirm ctDNA% as an actionable tool for patient risk stratification and provide a practical framework for optimized biomarker testing.

The Capio Prostate Cancer Center Model for Prostate Cancer Diagnostics-Real-world Evidence from 2018 to 2022.

Background: The Capio Prostate Cancer Center (Capio PCC) in Stockholm, Sweden, adopts a comprehensive diagnostic approach, utilizing prostate-specific antigen (PSA), Stockholm3, and magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) for prostate cancer risk assessment, followed by targeted and systematic biopsies for high-risk cases. Objective: This study aims to elucidate the clinical process and real-world outcomes of the Capio PCC model for prostate cancer diagnosis at Capio S:t Göran Hospital. Design setting and participants: Between 2018 and 2022, a cohort of 12 406 men aged 45-75 yr underwent prostate cancer testing, adhering to Capio PCC's structured diagnostic protocol. Outcome measurements and statistical analysis: We provide a comprehensive description of the Capio PCC model and present results from its implementation, including assessments of PSA, Stockholm3, MRI scans, and biopsies. A comparative analysis is conducted between the diagnostic outcomes obtained at Capio PCC and those obtained at other regions in Sweden. Results and limitations: The median participant age was 61 yr (interquartile range [IQR]: 55-67), with PSA levels at 1.6 ng/ml (IQR: 0.8-3.3) and Stockholm3 scores at 4 (IQR: 3-11). Among 1064 men (8.6%) undergoing biopsies, 611 (57% of biopsied) were diagnosed with International Society of Urological Pathology grade ≥ 2 cancer. Notably, employing a Stockholm3 ≥ 15 cutoff for biopsy, in lieu of PSA ≥ 3 ng/ml, reduced biopsy recommendations by 43%. For men with PSA levels between 1.5 and 2.9 ng/ml, 360 (12%) exhibited Stockholm3 scores of ≥ 15, with 72 (56% of biopsied) diagnosed with clinically significant prostate cancer. A comparative analysis with national Swedish prostate cancer detection data indicated that the Capio PCC model (vs Sweden) revealed a distribution of 14% (vs 25%) low-risk, 59% (vs 42%) intermediate-risk, and 26% (vs 30%) high-risk and advanced cancers. Conclusions: This study underscores the effectiveness of the protocol-driven diagnostic process at Capio PCC, enabling earlier detection of intermediate-risk prostate cancer and reducing the need for MRI assessments compared with standard prostate cancer care in Sweden. Patient summary: At the Capio Prostate Cancer Center, a novel diagnostic approach incorporating prostate-specific antigen, Stockholm3, magnetic resonance imaging, and targeted biopsies has been implemented to enhance prostate cancer testing and diagnosis in Stockholm, Sweden.

Prostate Biopsies Can Be Omitted in Most Patients with a Positive Stockholm3 Test and Negative Prostate Magnetic Resonance Imaging.

BACKGROUND: Magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) combined with the Stockholm3 test can be used to inform biopsy decision-making in patients with a suspicion of prostate cancer. OBJECTIVE: To determine the consequence of omitting biopsies in men with a positive Stockholm3 test and a negative MRI. DESIGN, SETTING, AND PARTICIPANTS: In a real-life setting, 438 men with a positive Stockholm3 test and a negative MRI underwent systematic biopsies from 2017 to 2020. OUTCOME MEASUREMENTS AND STATISTICAL ANALYSIS: The Stockholm3 test result is a percentage risk score with or without a prostate volume cutoff. The main outcomes were the number of clinically significant (Gleason grade group [GG] ≥2) and nonsignificant (GG 1) prostate cancers. RESULTS AND LIMITATIONS: Median prostate-specific antigen was 4.5 ng/ml (interquartile range 2.8-6.4 ng/ml) and the median age was 69 yr. Systematic biopsies detected grade group (GG) ≥2 disease in 48 men (11%, 95% confidence interval [CI] 8.4-14.2%) and GG 1 disease in 94 men (21.5%, 95% CI 17.9-25.6%). Of 256 patients without a volume cutoff in the test report, GG ≥2 was detected in 37 men (14.5%, 95% CI 10.7-19.3%). Omitting biopsies in patients with a volume cutoff would miss 11 GG ≥2 cases (6%, 95% CI 3.4-10.5%), reduce the number of GG 1 cases detected by 37 (39.4%, 95% CI 30.1-49.5%), and avoid a total of 182 biopsies (41.6%, 95% CI 37.0-46.2%). Limitations include the lack of follow-up data. CONCLUSIONS: Systematic biopsies can be omitted in patients with a positive Stockholm3 test and a negative MRI when there is a volume cutoff in the test report. With no volume cutoff, biopsies can be considered with shared decision-making. PATIENT SUMMARY: When investigated on suspicion of prostate cancer with a positive Stockholm3 test and a negative MRI (magnetic resonance imaging), prostate biopsies are only necessary for a subgroup of patients. This can spare some men from undergoing biopsies and reduce the detection of clinically insignificant cancers.

Prostate Cancer-specific and All-cause Mortality After Robot-assisted Radical Prostatectomy: 20 Years' Report from the European Association of Urology Robotic Urology Section Scientific Working Group.

BACKGROUND: Evidence on long-term oncological efficacy is available only for open radical prostatectomy but remains scarce for robot-assisted radical prostatectomy (RARP). OBJECTIVE: To validate the long-term survival rates after RARP and provide stratified outcomes based on contemporary prostate cancer (PCa) risk-stratification tools. DESIGN, SETTING, AND PARTICIPANTS: A retrospective analysis of the European Association of Urology (EAU) Robotic Urology Section Scientific Working Group international multicenter database for RARP was performed. Patients who underwent RARP at seven pioneer robotic urology programs in Europe and the USA between 2002 and 2012 were included. OUTCOME MEASUREMENTS AND STATISTICAL ANALYSIS: The primary outcomes were PCa-specific mortality and all-cause mortality. The probability of cancer-specific survival (CSS) was estimated with the competing risks method, and the probability of overall survival (OS) was estimated with the Kaplan-Meier method. RESULTS AND LIMITATIONS: A total of 9876 patients who underwent RARP between 2002 and 2012 were included. Within follow-up, 1071 deaths occurred and 159 were due to PCa. At 15 yr of follow-up, CSS and OS were 97.6% (97.2%, 98.0%) and 85.5% (84.6%, 86.4%), respectively. Stratified analyses based on EAU risk groups at diagnosis and pT stage showed favorable survival rates, with low-risk (n = 4601, 46.6%), intermediate-risk (n = 4056, 41.1%), and high-risk (n = 1219, 12.3%) patients demonstrating CSS rates of 99%, 98%, and 90% at 15 yr, respectively. Notably, patients with pT3a disease had similar survival outcomes to those with pT2 disease, with worse CSS in patients with pT3b PCa (98.9% vs 97.4% vs 86.5%). Multivariable analyses identified age, prostate-specific antigen, biopsy Gleason grade group, clinical T stage, and treatment year as independent predictors of worse oncological outcomes. CONCLUSIONS: Our multicenter study with long-term follow-up confirms favorable survival outcomes after RARP for localized PCa. Patients with low- and intermediate-risk disease face a higher risk of mortality from causes other than PCa. On the contrary, high-risk patients have a significantly higher risk of PCa-specific mortality. PATIENT SUMMARY: In the present study, we reported the outcomes of patients with prostate cancer (PCa) who underwent robot-assisted radical prostatectomy between 10 and 20 yr ago, and we found a very low probability of dying from PCa in patients with low- and intermediate-risk PCa.

Biochemical Recurrence and Risk of Mortality Following Radiotherapy or Radical Prostatectomy.

Importance: Stratifying patients with biochemical recurrence (BCR) after primary treatment for prostate cancer based on the risk of prostate cancer-specific mortality (PCSM) is essential for determining the need for further testing and treatments. Objective: To evaluate the association of BCR after radical prostatectomy or radiotherapy and its current risk stratification with PCSM. Design, Setting, and Participants: This population-based cohort study included a total of 16 311 male patients with 10 364 (64%) undergoing radical prostatectomy and 5947 (36%) undergoing radiotherapy with curative intent (cT1-3, cM0) and PSA follow-up in Stockholm, Sweden, between 2003 and 2019. Follow-up for all patients was until death, emigration, or end of the study (ie, December 31, 2018). Data were analyzed between September 2022 and March 2023. Main Outcomes and Measures: Primary outcomes of the study were the cumulative incidence of BCR and PCSM. Patients with BCR were stratified in low- and high-risk according to European Association of Urology (EAU) criteria. Exposures: Radical prostatectomy or radiotherapy. Results: A total of 16 311 patients were included. Median (IQR) age was 64 (59-68) years in the radical prostatectomy cohort (10 364 patients) and 69 (64-73) years in the radiotherapy cohort (5947 patients). Median (IQR) follow-up for survivors was 88 (55-138) months and 89 (53-134) months, respectively. Following radical prostatectomy, the 15-year cumulative incidences of BCR were 16% (95% CI, 15%-18%) for the 4024 patients in the low D'Amico risk group, 30% (95% CI, 27%-32%) for the 5239 patients in the intermediate D'Amico risk group, and 46% (95% CI, 42%-51%) for 1101 patients in the high D'Amico risk group. Following radiotherapy, the 15-year cumulative incidences of BCR were 18% (95% CI, 15%-21%) for the 1230 patients in the low-risk group, 24% (95% CI, 21%-26%) for the 2355 patients in the intermediate-risk group, and 36% (95% CI, 33%-39%) for the 2362 patients in the high-risk group. The 10-year cumulative incidences of PCSM after radical prostatectomy were 4% (95% CI, 2%-6%) for the 1101 patients who developed low-risk EAU-BCR and 9% (95% CI, 5%-13%) for 649 patients who developed high-risk EAU-BCR. After radiotherapy, the 10-year PCSM cumulative incidences were 24% (95% CI, 19%-29%) for the 591 patients in the low-risk EAU-BCR category and 46% (95% CI, 40%-51%) for the 600 patients in the high-risk EAU-BCR category. Conclusions and Relevance: These findings suggest the validity of EAU-BCR stratification system. However, while the risk of dying from prostate cancer in low-risk EAU-BCR after radical prostatectomy was very low, patients who developed low-risk EAU-BCR after radiotherapy had a nonnegligible risk of prostate cancer mortality. Improving risk stratification of patients with BCR is pivotal to guide salvage treatment decisions, reduce overtreatment, and limit the number of staging tests in the event of PSA elevations after primary treatment.

[Improved prostate cancer diagnostics with a structured pathway including ¼Stockholm 3« test, MRI and targeted perineal biopsies]. / Strukturerad kedja vid test för prostatacancer kortar ledtider.

The Prostate Cancer Center at Capio S:t Göran hospital is located in Stockholm and offers testing for prostate cancer. The pathway applies task shifting from doctors to nurses and new and innovative test methods, and leverages digitalization opportunities to enable a cost-efficient pathway with high specificity and sensitivity. In this article, we describe our experiences of the Capio S:t Göran Model.

AR and PI3K Genomic Profiling of Cell-free DNA Can Identify Poor Responders to Lutetium-177-PSMA Among Patients with Metastatic Castration-resistant Prostate Cancer.

Lutetium-177 prostate-specific membrane antigen radioligands (177Lu-PSMA) are new therapeutic agents for the treatment of metastatic castration-resistant prostate cancer (mCRPC). We evaluated the prognostic value of circulating tumour DNA (ctDNA) profiling in patients with mCRPC starting treatment with 177Lu-PSMA I&T. Between January 2020 and October 2022, patients with late-stage mCRPC (n = 57) were enrolled in a single-centre observational cohort study. Genomic alterations in the AR gene, PI3K signalling pathway, TP53, and TMPRSS2-ERG were associated with progression-free survival (PFS) on Kaplan-Meier and multivariable Cox regression analyses. Median PFS of 3.84 mo (95% confidence interval [CI] 3.3-5.4) was observed, and 21/56 (37.5%) evaluable patients experienced a prostate-specific antigen response of ≥50% during treatment. Among 46 patients who provided a blood sample for profiling before 177Lu-PSMA treatment. ctDNA was detected in 39 (84.8%); higher ctDNA was correlated with shorter PFS. Genomic structural rearrangements in the AR gene (hazard ratio [HR] 9.74, 95% confidence interval [CI] 2.4-39.5; p = 0.001) and alterations in the PI3K signalling pathway (HR 3.58, 95% CI 1.41-9.08; p = 0.007) were independently associated with poor 177Lu-PSMA prognosis on multivariable Cox regression. Prospective evaluation of these associations in biomarker-driven trials is warranted. Patient summary: We examined cell-free DNA in blood samples from patients with advanced metastatic prostate cancer who started treatment with lutetium-177-PSMA, a new radioligand therapy. We found that patients with genetic alterations in the androgen receptor gene or PI3K pathway genes did not experience a lasting benefit from lutetium-177-PSMA.

Evaluating Approaches for Constructing Polygenic Risk Scores for Prostate Cancer in Men of African and European Ancestry.

Genome-wide polygenic risk scores (GW-PRS) have been reported to have better predictive ability than PRS based on genome-wide significance thresholds across numerous traits. We compared the predictive ability of several GW-PRS approaches to a recently developed PRS of 269 established prostate cancer risk variants from multi-ancestry GWAS and fine-mapping studies (PRS 269 ). GW-PRS models were trained using a large and diverse prostate cancer GWAS of 107,247 cases and 127,006 controls used to develop the multi-ancestry PRS 269 . Resulting models were independently tested in 1,586 cases and 1,047 controls of African ancestry from the California/Uganda Study and 8,046 cases and 191,825 controls of European ancestry from the UK Biobank and further validated in 13,643 cases and 210,214 controls of European ancestry and 6,353 cases and 53,362 controls of African ancestry from the Million Veteran Program. In the testing data, the best performing GW-PRS approach had AUCs of 0.656 (95% CI=0.635-0.677) in African and 0.844 (95% CI=0.840-0.848) in European ancestry men and corresponding prostate cancer OR of 1.83 (95% CI=1.67-2.00) and 2.19 (95% CI=2.14-2.25), respectively, for each SD unit increase in the GW-PRS. However, compared to the GW-PRS, in African and European ancestry men, the PRS 269 had larger or similar AUCs (AUC=0.679, 95% CI=0.659-0.700 and AUC=0.845, 95% CI=0.841-0.849, respectively) and comparable prostate cancer OR (OR=2.05, 95% CI=1.87-2.26 and OR=2.21, 95% CI=2.16-2.26, respectively). Findings were similar in the validation data. This investigation suggests that current GW-PRS approaches may not improve the ability to predict prostate cancer risk compared to the multi-ancestry PRS 269 constructed with fine-mapping.

Evaluating approaches for constructing polygenic risk scores for prostate cancer in men of African and European ancestry.

Genome-wide polygenic risk scores (GW-PRSs) have been reported to have better predictive ability than PRSs based on genome-wide significance thresholds across numerous traits. We compared the predictive ability of several GW-PRS approaches to a recently developed PRS of 269 established prostate cancer-risk variants from multi-ancestry GWASs and fine-mapping studies (PRS269). GW-PRS models were trained with a large and diverse prostate cancer GWAS of 107,247 cases and 127,006 controls that we previously used to develop the multi-ancestry PRS269. Resulting models were independently tested in 1,586 cases and 1,047 controls of African ancestry from the California Uganda Study and 8,046 cases and 191,825 controls of European ancestry from the UK Biobank and further validated in 13,643 cases and 210,214 controls of European ancestry and 6,353 cases and 53,362 controls of African ancestry from the Million Veteran Program. In the testing data, the best performing GW-PRS approach had AUCs of 0.656 (95% CI = 0.635-0.677) in African and 0.844 (95% CI = 0.840-0.848) in European ancestry men and corresponding prostate cancer ORs of 1.83 (95% CI = 1.67-2.00) and 2.19 (95% CI = 2.14-2.25), respectively, for each SD unit increase in the GW-PRS. Compared to the GW-PRS, in African and European ancestry men, the PRS269 had larger or similar AUCs (AUC = 0.679, 95% CI = 0.659-0.700 and AUC = 0.845, 95% CI = 0.841-0.849, respectively) and comparable prostate cancer ORs (OR = 2.05, 95% CI = 1.87-2.26 and OR = 2.21, 95% CI = 2.16-2.26, respectively). Findings were similar in the validation studies. This investigation suggests that current GW-PRS approaches may not improve the ability to predict prostate cancer risk compared to the PRS269 developed from multi-ancestry GWASs and fine-mapping.

Prostate Cancer IRE Study (PRIS): A Randomized Controlled Trial Comparing Focal Therapy to Radical Treatment in Localized Prostate Cancer.

The aim of focal treatments (FTs) in prostate cancer (PCa) is to treat lesions while preserving surrounding benign tissue and anatomic structures. Irreversible electroporation (IRE) is a nonthermal technique that uses high-voltage electric pulses to increase membrane permeability and induce membrane disruption in cells, which potentially causes less damage to the surrounding tissue in comparison to other ablative techniques. We summarize the study protocol for the Prostate Cancer IRE Study (PRIS), which involves two parallel randomized controlled trials comparing IRE with (1) robot-assisted radical prostatectomy (RARP) or (2) radiotherapy in men with newly diagnosed intermediate-risk PCa (NCT05513443). To reduce the number of patients for inclusion and the study duration, the primary outcomes are functional outcomes: urinary incontinence in study 1 and irritative urinary symptoms in study 2. Providing evidence of the lower impact of IRE on functional outcomes will lay a foundation for the design of future multicenter studies with an oncological outcome as the primary endpoint. Erectile function, quality of life, treatment failure, adverse events, and cost effectiveness will be evaluated as secondary objectives. Patients diagnosed with Gleason score 3 + 4 or 4 + 3 PCa from a single lesion visible on magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) without any Gleason grade 4 or higher in systematic biopsies outside of the target (unifocal significant disease), aged ≥40 yr, with no established extraprostatic extension on multiparametric MRI, a lesion volume of <1.5 cm3, prostate-specific antigen <20 ng/ml, and stage ≤T2b are eligible for inclusion. The study plan is to recruit 184 men.

Biochemical activity induced by a germline variation in KLK3 (PSA) associates with cellular function and clinical outcome in prostate cancer.

Genetic variation at the 19q13.3 KLK locus is linked with prostate cancer susceptibility. The non-synonymous KLK3 SNP, rs17632542 (c.536T>C; Ile163Thr-substitution in PSA) is associated with reduced prostate cancer risk, however, the functional relevance is unknown. Here, we identify that the SNP variant-induced change in PSA biochemical activity as a previously undescribed function mediating prostate cancer pathogenesis. The 'Thr' PSA variant led to small subcutaneous tumours, supporting reduced prostate cancer risk. However, 'Thr' PSA also displayed higher metastatic potential with pronounced osteolytic activity in an experimental metastasis in-vivo model. Biochemical characterization of this PSA variant demonstrated markedly reduced proteolytic activity that correlated with differences in in-vivo tumour burden. The SNP is associated with increased risk for aggressive disease and prostate cancer-specific mortality in three independent cohorts, highlighting its critical function in mediating metastasis. Carriers of this SNP allele had reduced serum total PSA and a higher free/total PSA ratio that could contribute to late biopsy decisions and delay in diagnosis. Our results provide a molecular explanation for the prominent 19q13.3 KLK locus, rs17632542 SNP, association with a spectrum of prostate cancer clinical outcomes.

Prognostic Value of Low-Pass Whole Genome Sequencing of Circulating Tumor DNA in Metastatic Castration-Resistant Prostate Cancer.

BACKGROUND: Multiple treatments are available for metastatic castration-resistant prostate cancer (mCRPC), including androgen receptor signaling inhibitors (ARSI) enzalutamide and abiraterone, but therapy resistance remains a major clinical obstacle. We examined the clinical utility of low-pass whole-genome sequencing (LPWGS) of circulating tumor DNA (ctDNA) for prognostication in mCRPC. METHODS: A total of 200 plasma samples from 143 mCRPC patients collected at the start of first-line ARSI treatment (baseline) and at treatment termination (n = 57, matched) were analyzed by LPWGS (median: 0.50X) to access ctDNA% and copy number alteration (CNA) patterns. The best confirmed prostate specific antigen (PSA) response (≥50% decline [PSA50]), PSA progression-free survival (PFS), and overall survival (OS) were used as endpoints. For external validation, we used plasma LPWGS data from an independent cohort of 70 mCRPC patients receiving first-line ARSI. RESULTS: Baseline ctDNA% ranged from ≤3.0% to 73% (median: 6.6%) and CNA burden from 0% to 82% (median: 13.1%) in the discovery cohort. High ctDNA% and high CNA burden at baseline was associated with poor PSA50 response (P = 0.0123/0.0081), poor PFS (P < 0.0001), and poor OS (P < 0.0001). ctDNA% and CNA burden was higher at PSA progression than at baseline in 32.7% and 42.3% of the patients. High ctDNA% and high CNA burden at baseline was also associated with poor PFS and OS (P ≤ 0.0272) in the validation cohort. CONCLUSIONS: LPWGS of ctDNA provides clinically relevant information about the tumor genome in mCRPC patients. Using LPWGS data, we show that high ctDNA% and CNA burden at baseline is associated with short PFS and OS in 2 independent cohorts.

External Validation of the Rotterdam Prostate Cancer Risk Calculator and Comparison with Stockholm3 for Prostate Cancer Diagnosis in a Swedish Population-based Screening Cohort.

BACKGROUND: The Rotterdam Prostate Cancer Risk Calculator (RPCRC) and Stockholm3 can be used to aid urologists in their decision to refer men to magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) or biopsy for early detection of prostate cancer. OBJECTIVE: To assess the external validity of the RPCRC and compare it with using PSA and Stockholm3 to detect clinically significant prostate cancer. DESIGN, SETTING, AND PARTICIPANTS: Using data from the prospective, population-based, randomised STHLM3-MRI screening trial, we included participants with prostate-specific antigen (PSA) ≥3 ng/ml or Stockholm3 risk threshold ≥11% in the standard group who underwent systematic prostate biopsies. OUTCOME MEASUREMENTS AND STATISTICAL ANALYSIS: Probabilities for clinically significant prostate cancer (csPC, International Society of Urological Pathology grade ≥2) were calculated for each participant using the RPCRC and Stockholm3 with and without prostate volume. Performance of the risk calculators was assessed by discrimination, calibration, and clinical benefits. RESULTS AND LIMITATIONS: In total, 666 men with a median age of 67 yr (interquartile range [IQR]: 61-71) and PSA of 3.4 ng/ml (2.5-5.0) were included, of whom 154 (23%) had csPC. Risk distribution of the RPCRC was narrow: median risks of 2% (IQR 1-4%) compared with 14% (IQR: 9.5-23%) for Stockholm3. Using RPCRC's recommended risk threshold of ≥4% for finding csPC, 54% of all csPC cases would be detected versus 94% using Stockholm3 with a threshold of ≥11%. Calibration of Stockholm3 was adequate while RPCRC underestimated the risk of csPC. The Stockholm3 test showed positive net benefits at clinically relevant thresholds, while the RPCRC showed negative net benefits. Compared with PSA, the RPCRC was associated with lower detection of csPC (84 vs 103; 0.82 [0.71-0.93]), while Stockholm3 was associated with higher detection of csPC (143 vs 103; 1.40 [1.23-1.57]). The main limitation was that Stockholm3 was evaluated in a similar population to where it was developed. CONCLUSIONS: The performance of the RPCRC in a Swedish population-based cohort is suboptimal with a considerable underestimation of prostate cancer risk, while the Stockholm3 test showed superior performance and a positive clinical benefit. PATIENT SUMMARY: The use of the Rotterdam Prostate Cancer Risk Calculator available online to predict the risk of prostate cancer in a Swedish cohort was found to be clinically harmful as it underpredicted the risk of clinically significant prostate cancer, while the Stockholm3 test performed well showing clinical benefits.

Digital Rectal Examination in Stockholm3 Biomarker-based Prostate Cancer Screening.

Background: Pathological digital rectal examination (DRE) is suggestive of prostate cancer but has low sensitivity and specificity. DRE is incorporated in many clinical risk calculators, but there is less evidence on how DRE performs in the setting of blood biomarkers and polygenic risk prediction models other than prostate-specific antigen (PSA) associated with prostate cancer. The Stockholm3 test combines a blood test and clinical variables including DRE. Objective: To assess the predictive performance of DRE for finding clinically significant prostate cancer in systematic biopsy and evaluate its added value to the multivariable diagnostic test Stockholm3. Design setting and participants: This population-based study in the screening by invitation setting included 5543 men aged 50-69 yr with PSA ≥3 ng/ml who were referred for systematic prostate biopsy between 2012 and 2015. The STHLM3 study is registered with ISRCTN.com as ISRCTN84445406. Outcome measurements and statistical analysis: Predictive performance was assessed via estimates of sensitivity and specificity and in logistic regression. Clinically significant cancer was defined as International Society of Urological Pathology grade group ≥2 (GG ≥2) cancer on systematic biopsy. Results and limitations: We found that 11% of men with PSA ≥3 ng/ml had a suspicious DRE. A suspicious DRE was associated with a 3.16-fold higher risk (95% confidence interval [CI] 2.83-3.52) of GG ≥2 cancer and greater length of cancer on biopsy. The risk of nonsignificant cancer was similar regardless of the DRE finding. The risk of GG ≥2 cancer was 46.2% (95% CI 42.2-50.3%) for men with a suspicious DRE versus 14.6% (95% CI 13.7-15.7%) for men with a negative DRE. The elevated risk of GG ≥2 cancer persisted after adjusting for the other Stockholm3 test parameters (odds ratio 2.88, 95% CI 2.32-3.57). For detection of GG ≥2 cancer among men with PSA ≥3 ng/ml, DRE had sensitivity of 27.8% (95% CI 25.1-30.7%) and specificity of 92.8% (95% CI 92.1-93.6%). Conclusions: In this screening-by-invitation setting we found that for men with PSA ≥3 ng/ml, a suspicious DRE indicates more than threefold higher risk of harboring significant prostate cancer. DRE as a variable adds significant precision to the Stockholm3 prediction model. Men with a suspicious DRE should be referred for further diagnostic workup, including biopsy. Patient summary: We investigated the ability of digital rectal examination to predict if a patient has clinically significant prostate cancer. We found that digital rectal examination provides valuable information and can help doctors in making an informed decision on whether to recommend prostate biopsy.

Unsupervised detection of fragment length signatures of circulating tumor DNA using non-negative matrix factorization.

Sequencing of cell-free DNA (cfDNA) is currently being used to detect cancer by searching both for mutational and non-mutational alterations. Recent work has shown that the length distribution of cfDNA fragments from a cancer patient can inform tumor load and type. Here, we propose non-negative matrix factorization (NMF) of fragment length distributions as a novel and completely unsupervised method for studying fragment length patterns in cfDNA. Using shallow whole-genome sequencing (sWGS) of cfDNA from a cohort of patients with metastatic castration-resistant prostate cancer (mCRPC), we demonstrate how NMF accurately infers the true tumor fragment length distribution as an NMF component - and that the sample weights of this component correlate with ctDNA levels (r=0.75). We further demonstrate how using several NMF components enables accurate cancer detection on data from various early stage cancers (AUC = 0.96). Finally, we show that NMF, when applied across genomic regions, can be used to discover fragment length signatures associated with open chromatin.

Using deep learning to detect patients at risk for prostate cancer despite benign biopsies.

Routine transrectal ultrasound-guided systematic prostate biopsy only samples a small volume of the prostate and tumors between biopsy cores can be missed, leading to low sensitivity to detect clinically relevant prostate cancers (PCa). Deep learning may enable detection of PCa despite benign biopsies. We included 14,354 hematoxylin-eosin stained benign prostate biopsies from 1,508 men in two groups: men without established PCa diagnosis and men with at least one core biopsy diagnosed with PCa. A 10-Convolutional Neural Network ensemble was optimized to distinguish benign biopsies from benign men or patients with PCa. Area under the receiver operating characteristic curve was estimated at 0.739 (bootstrap 95% CI:0.682-0.796) on man level in the held-out test set. At the specificity of 0.90, the model sensitivity was 0.348. The proposed model can detect men with risk of missed PCa and has the potential to reduce false negatives and to indicate men who could benefit from rebiopsies.